Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002562 0.002721 0.002893 0.003092 0.003318 0.003570 0.003874
2025-04-20 0.002233 0.002433 0.002658 0.002935 0.003272 0.003677 0.004211
2025-04-27 0.002085 0.002317 0.002590 0.002941 0.003395 0.003980 0.004832
2025-05-04 0.002008 0.002271 0.002591 0.003022 0.003611 0.004431 0.005757
2025-05-11 0.001914 0.002192 0.002538 0.003021 0.003711 0.004732 0.006551
2025-05-18 0.001873 0.002172 0.002557 0.003112 0.003947 0.005280 0.007979
2025-05-25 0.001798 0.002102 0.002501 0.003090 0.004008 0.005557 0.009029
2025-06-01 0.001719 0.002022 0.002424 0.003029 0.003998 0.005703 0.009875
2025-06-08 0.001691 0.002008 0.002435 0.003097 0.004203 0.006297 0.012318
2025-06-15 0.001658 0.001984 0.002431 0.003140 0.004371 0.006866 0.015429
2025-06-22 0.001603 0.001926 0.002374 0.003093 0.004371 0.007073 0.017554
2025-06-29 0.001549 0.001867 0.002311 0.003033 0.004338 0.007194 0.019571
2025-07-06 0.001502 0.001819 0.002264 0.003000 0.004363 0.007498 0.023741
2025-07-13 0.001422 0.001720 0.002140 0.002831 0.004108 0.007022 0.021700
2025-07-20 0.001391 0.001690 0.002117 0.002829 0.004183 0.007454 0.028406
2025-07-27 0.001380 0.001689 0.002136 0.002902 0.004419 0.008455 0.053741
2025-08-03 0.001352 0.001662 0.002114 0.002899 0.004498 0.009022 0.102528
2025-08-10 0.001346 0.001666 0.002139 0.002983 0.004782 0.010513 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001317 0.001635 0.002109 0.002963 0.004823 0.011102 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001283 0.001595 0.002061 0.002907 0.004769 0.011256 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001275 0.001593 0.002076 0.002969 0.005022 0.013127 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001262 0.001585 0.002079 0.003009 0.005223 0.015083 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001235 0.001553 0.002041 0.002966 0.005195 0.015563 NaN